Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Racing Rioja vs River Ebro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

Racing Rioja in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Rioja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing Rioja
15%
Draws
85%
River Ebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Racing Rioja lately — more wins on the board than River Ebro.
  • Win probability leans River Ebro's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Racing Rioja have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 23%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Rioja River Ebro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Racing Rioja
3:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs River Ebro
1:0
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs River Ebro
5:0
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Racing Rioja
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Rioja Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

River Ebro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Rioja 29 / 100
River Ebro 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Rioja River Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River Ebro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Ebro has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: River Ebro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Racing Rioja scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS River Ebro
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Rioja

(Home)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

River Ebro

(Away)
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
06 Sept
River Ebro
1 : 2
Comillas CF
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2
Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1
River Ebro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)