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Racing Santander vs Real Aviles

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Cueto J.
47' Event
Arevalo J.
82' Event
Rodri

AI Match Summary

Racing Santander in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Santander.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Racing Santander
15%
Draws
46%
Real Aviles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Aviles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Santander have won more games recently than Real Aviles.
  • Win probability leans Real Aviles's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Santander Real Aviles
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 4 13
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Racing Santander vs Real Aviles
2:1
Oct 13, 2021 Copa Federacion
Real Aviles vs Racing Santander
0:3
Jan 11, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Racing Santander
0:2
Sep 1, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Racing Santander vs Real Aviles
1:1
Feb 16, 1992 LaLiga2
Real Aviles vs Racing Santander
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Arevalo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodri
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Real Aviles Compare

Top Goalscorer Cueto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Santander 10 / 100
Real Aviles 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Santander Real Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Aviles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aviles has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Racing Santander found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Racing Santander has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing Santander VS Real Aviles
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Santander

(Home)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
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Real Aviles

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1
Pontevedra
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
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