Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Racing vs Al-Mabarrah

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Siblini M.
Assist: Abboud A.

AI Match Summary

Al-Mabarrah in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Mabarrah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing
15%
Draws
85%
Al-Mabarrah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Mabarrah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Mabarrah have won more games recently than Racing.
  • Racing are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Racing Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Mabarrah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Al-Mabarrah
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 0 7
Draws 1 9
Losses 30 14
Goals Scored 0.32 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.81 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Premier League
Racing vs Al-Mabarrah
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Racing
0:0
Mar 30, 2014 Premier League
Racing vs Al-Mabarrah
2:3
Sep 22, 2013 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Racing
0:1
Apr 25, 2012 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Racing
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Mabarrah Compare

Top Goalscorer Siblini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing 40 / 100
Al-Mabarrah 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Al-Mabarrah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Mabarrah has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Al-Mabarrah lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Racing found the back of the net in 29% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Racing VS Al-Mabarrah
0 Goals Scored 0.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing

(Home)
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
Page 1 of 7

Al-Mabarrah

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
21 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
16 Jun
Tadamon
1 : 1
Al-Mabarrah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)