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Rajasthan United vs Dempo

India India

I-League Namdhari Stadium, Ludhiana
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Colaco V.
60' Event
Doungel S.
Assist: Colaco V.
64'
Sub
Colaco V. In: Hoble K.
Out: Colaco V.

AI Match Summary

The I-League game between Rajasthan United and Dempo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dempo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Rajasthan United
35%
Draws
56%
Dempo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dempo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rajasthan United come out ahead of Dempo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular I-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Rajasthan United Clean Sheet 22%
Dempo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rajasthan United Dempo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 I-League
Rajasthan United vs Dempo
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 I-League
Dempo vs Rajasthan United
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 I-League
Dempo vs Rajasthan United
0:4
Jan 19, 2025 I-League
Rajasthan United vs Dempo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rajasthan United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dempo Compare

Top Goalscorer Doungel S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rajasthan United 32 / 100
Dempo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rajasthan United Dempo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dempo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rajasthan United scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Dempo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Rajasthan United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rajasthan United VS Dempo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rajasthan United

(Home)
19 May
Rajasthan United
2 : 2
Chanmari
15 May
Lajong
4 : 2
Rajasthan United
08 May
Diamond Harbour
5 : 2
Rajasthan United
01 May
Rajasthan United
0 : 1
Dempo
24 Apr
Rajasthan United
1 : 2
Sreenidi Deccan
Page 1 of 6

Dempo

(Away)
22 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
09 May
Chanmari
2 : 0
Dempo
01 May
Rajasthan United
0 : 1
Dempo
26 Apr
Lajong
0 : 0
Dempo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 14 9 2 3 31:20 29
2 Lajong 14 8 4 2 28:12 28
3 Sreenidi Deccan 14 7 5 2 18:13 26
4 Rajasthan United 14 5 3 6 20:24 18
5 Chanmari 14 4 3 7 19:25 15
6 Dempo 14 3 6 5 17:18 15
Promotion - ISL 2026/2027 (Main)