Sport Picks
Rakow Czestochowa vs Korona Kielce
Poland
Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Częstochowa 
Match Events
20'
20'
Dlugosz W.
25'
25'
Sub
Dlugosz W. In: Zwozny H.
Out: Dlugosz W.
45'
45'
Bulat M.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 game between Rakow Czestochowa and Korona Kielce finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rakow Czestochowa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rakow Czestochowa come out ahead of Korona Kielce on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Rakow Czestochowa taking it.
- Regular Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 20%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rakow Czestochowa | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Korona Kielce
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:4
May 17, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Mar 13, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rakow Czestochowa Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaby-Fadiga L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bulat M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Korona Kielce Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rakow Czestochowa 49 / 100
Korona Kielce 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rakow Czestochowa Korona Kielce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rakow Czestochowa found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Korona Kielce has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Rakow Czestochowa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rakow Czestochowa VS Korona Kielce
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rakow Czestochowa
(Home) 23 Jul
Rakow Czestochowa
3 : 1 Valletta
16 Jul
GKS Katowice
1 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
11 Jul
PSV
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Waregem
4 : 3 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Rakow Czestochowa
3 : 1 Valletta
04 Jul
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 0 Puszcza
27 Jun
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 0 Piast Gliwice
23 May
Rakow Czestochowa
3 : 0 Arka Gdynia
13 May
Rakow Czestochowa
0 : 2 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 3
Korona Kielce
(Away) 25 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
17 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
14 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0 S. Rzeszow
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0 Omonia
04 Jul
Korona Kielce
4 : 0 Michalovce
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
23 May
Cracovia
1 : 1 Korona Kielce
08 May
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 0 Korona Kielce
18 Apr
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
06 Apr
Lechia Gdansk
4 : 2 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 56 |
| 4 | Rakow Czestochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | 36 |
| 18 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | 34 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)