Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011

Naron

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rapido de Bouzas play Naron in the Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011. Rapido de Bouzas are favorites here. Recently, Rapido de Bouzas averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Naron averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Rapido de Bouzas won 5, Naron won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 19, 2013 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Rapido de Bouzas and 1.00 for Naron. This points to a Rapido de Bouzas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

Rapido de Bouzas

16%

Draws

18%

Naron

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Rapido de Bouzas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Rapido de Bouzas picked up more points recently compared to Naron.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 23%

Naron Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rapido de Bouzas	Naron
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	4
Draws	7	7
Losses	13	19
Goals Scored	1.28	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.19	2.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Rapido de Bouzas vs Naron

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Jan 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Naron vs Rapido de Bouzas

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

0:2

May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Naron vs Rapido de Bouzas

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Dec 22, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Rapido de Bouzas vs Naron

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Naron vs Rapido de Bouzas

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapido de Bouzas 64 / 100

Naron 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rapido de Bouzas Naron

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapido de Bouzas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Rapido de Bouzas & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rapido de Bouzas attacking → ← attacking Naron

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapido de Bouzas scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Naron let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rapido de Bouzas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Naron lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 19

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cerceda	36	26	5	5	58:17	83
2	Racing Club Ferrol	36	22	7	7	79:29	73
3	CD Ourense	36	21	4	11	71:31	67
4	Racing Club Villalbes	36	17	12	7	39:25	63
5	Somozas	36	16	12	8	49:32	60
6	Alondras	36	14	13	9	47:38	55
7	SD Ordenes	36	15	10	11	42:44	55
8	SD Negreira	36	14	9	13	41:35	51
9	Villalonga	36	12	13	11	42:45	49
10	Rapido de Bouzas	36	13	5	18	43:51	44
11	CD AS Pontes	36	11	11	14	41:53	44
12	Estradense	36	11	11	14	37:41	44
13	Meson do Bento	36	7	19	10	36:48	40
14	Bergantinos	36	10	10	16	33:45	40
15	CD Cultural Areas	36	9	12	15	40:55	39
16	Pontevedra B	36	9	10	17	30:46	37
17	Santa Comba	36	8	11	17	30:52	35
18	Naron	36	8	7	21	33:56	31
19	Portonovo SD	36	5	7	24	23:71	22