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Ratchaburi vs Ayutthaya United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Mutombo G.
Own Goal
38'
Tamma C.
45'
Changthong A.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Ratchaburi and Ayutthaya United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayutthaya United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ratchaburi
6%
Draws
4%
Ayutthaya United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ratchaburi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ratchaburi taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ayutthaya United have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 20%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ratchaburi Ayutthaya United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Ayutthaya United
1:2
Feb 25, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Deni Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Laptrakul C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ratchaburi 85 / 100
Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ratchaburi Ayutthaya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ratchaburi scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Away concern: Ayutthaya United has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ayutthaya United let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ratchaburi VS Ayutthaya United
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ratchaburi

(Home)
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
29 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 7

Ayutthaya United

(Away)
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
12 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)