Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rathfriland Rangers vs Warrenpoint

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warrenpoint in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warrenpoint.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rathfriland Rangers
15%
Draws
46%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rathfriland Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Warrenpoint.
  • Warrenpoint are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rathfriland Rangers Warrenpoint
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.79 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 NIFL Championship
Rathfriland Rangers vs Warrenpoint
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rathfriland Rangers 10 / 100
Warrenpoint 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rathfriland Rangers Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rathfriland Rangers scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Warrenpoint's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rathfriland Rangers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rathfriland Rangers VS Warrenpoint
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rathfriland Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Queens University
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
Page 1 of 6

Warrenpoint

(Away)
03 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 1
Annagh
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)