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Rayo Vallecano B vs Canillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Acosta T.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Ybarra J.
47' Event
Chenque

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Rayo Vallecano B and Canillas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Vallecano B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rayo Vallecano B
15%
Draws
0%
Canillas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo Vallecano B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rayo Vallecano B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rayo Vallecano B a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 14%
Canillas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Vallecano B Canillas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.84 1.03
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Canillas
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Canillas
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Canillas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Vallecano B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ybarra J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eto'o E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Canillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Chenque
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano B 41 / 100
Canillas 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Vallecano B Canillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Canillas conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Canillas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rayo Vallecano B scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Vallecano B VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Vallecano B

(Home)
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
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Canillas

(Away)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)