Sport Picks
Rayo Vallecano B vs Real Aranjuez
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Rayo Vallecano B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Vallecano B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo Vallecano B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Real Aranjuez haven't matched Rayo Vallecano B's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Rayo Vallecano B have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 17%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano B | Real Aranjuez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 22 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.61 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Real Aranjuez
6:0
Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Rayo Vallecano B
0:3
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Real Aranjuez
8:2
Jan 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Rayo Vallecano B
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Vallecano B 30 / 100
Real Aranjuez 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Vallecano B Real Aranjuez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.
Real Aranjuez's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Defensive concern: Real Aranjuez conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Rayo Vallecano B scored in 55% of their last 38 games.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Vallecano B VS Real Aranjuez
0.63 Goals Scored 0.6
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Vallecano B
(Home) 13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
26 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 2 Socuellamos
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13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
26 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 2 Socuellamos
12 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 1 CF Intercity
29 Mar
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 4 Getafe B
15 Mar
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 0 Orihuela
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Real Aranjuez
(Away) 12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6 Alaves C
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0 Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Real Aranjuez
0 : 3 RSC Internacional
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06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0 Real Aranjuez
02 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
6 : 0 Real Aranjuez
19 Mar
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0 Real Aranjuez
05 Mar
Ursaria
5 : 1 Real Aranjuez
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ursaria | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 62:22 | 68 |
| 2 | RSC Internacional | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 73:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Getafe B | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 49:24 | 54 |
| 4 | Paracuellos Antamira | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 48:40 | 48 |
| 5 | CD Mostoles | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 38:32 | 47 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:28 | 46 |
| 7 | CD Las Rozas | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 37:38 | 45 |
| 8 | Trival Valderas | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 38:44 | 37 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:47 | 37 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | 35 |
| 11 | Galapagar | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 38:44 | 35 |
| 12 | Collado Villalba | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 30:45 | 34 |
| 13 | Canillas | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34:46 | 34 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano B | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42:45 | 33 |
| 15 | CDE Madrid | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 31:52 | 32 |
| 16 | Real Aranjuez | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
