Sport Picks

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Rayon Sport vs Bugesera

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayon Sport in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayon Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rayon Sport
35%
Draws
26%
Bugesera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rayon Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bugesera lately — more wins on the board than Rayon Sport.
  • Rayon Sport are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 68%
Bugesera Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayon Sport Bugesera
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 15 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Bugesera
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Bugesera vs Rayon Sport
2:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Bugesera vs Rayon Sport
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Bugesera
2:0
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
Bugesera vs Rayon Sport
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayon Sport 50 / 100
Bugesera 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayon Sport Bugesera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayon Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayon Sport scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bugesera has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Rayon Sport remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayon Sport VS Bugesera
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayon Sport

(Home)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
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Bugesera

(Away)
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)