Sport Picks
Rayong FC vs Port MTI FC
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 Rayong Provincial Stadium, Rayong 
Match Events
6'
6'
Bureerat S.
Assist: Kesarat T.
16'
16'
Shimura N.
Assist: Kesarat T.
30'
30'
Joao Afonso
AI Match Summary
Rayong FC in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayong FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Port MTI FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Rayong FC haven't matched Port MTI FC's recent run of results.
- Port MTI FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayong FC | Port MTI FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.43 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.43 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Port MTI FC
5:2
Aug 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Rayong FC
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Rayong FC
4:1
Aug 10, 2024 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Port MTI FC
1:3
Feb 28, 2021 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Rayong FC
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayong FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Afonso
1 Goals Assists Leader Ratree S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71
Port MTI FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bureerat S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shimura N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayong FC 10 / 100
Port MTI FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayong FC Port MTI FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayong FC scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Rayong FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Port MTI FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rayong FC VS Port MTI FC
1.43 Goals Scored 2.63
2.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayong FC
(Home) 10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1 Rayong FC
29 Apr
Rayong FC
3 : 0 Buriram United F.C.
26 Apr
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Lamphun Warrior
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1 Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Bangkok Utd
29 Apr
Rayong FC
3 : 0 Buriram United F.C.
26 Apr
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Lamphun Warrior
21 Mar
Rayong FC
2 : 1 Kanchanaburi
14 Mar
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Pathum United
Page 1 of 3
Port MTI FC
(Away) 29 Jul
Port MTI FC
2 : 2 Persija Jakarta
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4 Port MTI FC
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4 Port MTI FC
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
