Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Capaldo N.
17'
17'
Gomis T.
Assist: Banzuzi E.
28'
28'
Nusa A.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between RB Leipzig and Hamburger finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RB Leipzig.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- RB Leipzig carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans RB Leipzig's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- History favors RB Leipzig here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
RB Leipzig Clean Sheet 68%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Hamburger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger
5:0
Mar 1, 2026 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs RB Leipzig
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger
2:1
Oct 18, 2022 DFB Pokal
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger
4:0
Apr 23, 2019 DFB Pokal
Hamburger vs RB Leipzig
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RB Leipzig Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomis T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nusa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Hamburger Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RB Leipzig 95 / 100
Hamburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RB Leipzig Hamburger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RB Leipzig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RB Leipzig scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Hamburger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
RB Leipzig went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
RB Leipzig VS Hamburger
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
RB Leipzig
(Home) 13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
22 Aug
Eintracht Trier
0 : 6 RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
01 Aug
RB Leipzig
4 : 0 Verl
25 Jul
RB Leipzig
1 : 0 Ingolstadt
09 May
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 St. Pauli
Page 1 of 3
Hamburger
(Away) 13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Augsburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Mainz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 11 | Schalke | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 17 | B. Monchengladbach | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | 0 |
| 18 | Hamburger | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
