Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RC Grasse vs Toulon

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Bekhechi J.
73'
Lasri Y.
88' Event
Bentil G.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between RC Grasse and Toulon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RC Grasse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
RC Grasse
30%
Draws
37%
Toulon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • RC Grasse's 1.37 goals per match outpaces what Toulon have produced (1.35).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
RC Grasse Clean Sheet 19%
Toulon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RC Grasse Toulon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National 1 - Group C
RC Grasse vs Toulon
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs RC Grasse
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs RC Grasse
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 National 1 - Group A
RC Grasse vs Toulon
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 National 1 - Group A
RC Grasse vs Toulon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RC Grasse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekhechi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bentil G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinci L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RC Grasse 32 / 100
Toulon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RC Grasse Toulon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RC Grasse scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Toulon has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

RC Grasse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RC Grasse VS Toulon
1.43 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RC Grasse

(Home)
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Rumilly Vallieres
02 May
Limonest
1 : 3
RC Grasse
25 Apr
RC Grasse
2 : 2
Istres
17 Apr
Andrezieux
1 : 2
RC Grasse
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Toulon

(Away)
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)