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RC Riviere-Pilote vs Excelsior

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016 game between RC Riviere-Pilote and Excelsior finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
RC Riviere-Pilote
30%
Draws
31%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RC Riviere-Pilote

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RC Riviere-Pilote come out ahead of Excelsior on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on RC Riviere-Pilote taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RC Riviere-Pilote have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
RC Riviere-Pilote Clean Sheet 20%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RC Riviere-Pilote Excelsior
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2017 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs RC Riviere-Pilote
0:6
Sep 24, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Riviere-Pilote vs Excelsior
6:0
Apr 23, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Riviere-Pilote vs Excelsior
1:3
Nov 21, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs RC Riviere-Pilote
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RC Riviere-Pilote 67 / 100
Excelsior 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RC Riviere-Pilote Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Riviere-Pilote Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

RC Riviere-Pilote found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (35 games).

RC Riviere-Pilote went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RC Riviere-Pilote VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RC Riviere-Pilote

(Home)
12 Sept
RC Riviere-Pilote
0 : 1
Golden Lion
05 Sept
Assaut
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
21 May
RC Saint Joseph
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
14 May
RC Riviere-Pilote
1 : 3
Diamantinoise
07 May
RC Riviere-Pilote
2 : 1
Eclair de Riviere-Salee
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Excelsior

(Away)
13 May
Excelsior
2 : 2
JS Eucalyptus
06 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 2
Excelsior
29 Apr
Excelsior
0 : 2
Golden Lion
23 Apr
Excelsior
1 : 3
Golden Star
08 Apr
Club Colonial
6 : 0
Excelsior
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