Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Reading U23 vs Charlton U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Gavin D.
63' Event
Chin R.
77' Event
Gavin D.

AI Match Summary

Charlton U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Reading U23
20%
Draws
47%
Charlton U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charlton U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Reading U23 haven't matched Charlton U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Charlton U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Charlton U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Reading U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Charlton U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reading U23 Charlton U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.35
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 2.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2021 Premier League Cup
Reading U23 vs Charlton U23
0:5
Sep 8, 2021 Premier League Cup
Charlton U23 vs Reading U23
3:0
Feb 24, 2020 Premier League Cup
Charlton U23 vs Reading U23
2:2
Nov 28, 2019 Premier League Cup
Reading U23 vs Charlton U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reading U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Charlton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gavin D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.84
Avg xA / game 1.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reading U23 30 / 100
Charlton U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reading U23 Charlton U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlton U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Charlton U23 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Reading U23's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Reading U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Reading U23 VS Charlton U23
1.33 Goals Scored 2.88
1.17 Goals Conceded 2.5
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
17% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Reading U23

(Home)
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
25 Apr
Reading U23
3 : 1
Fulham U23
01 Apr
Reading U23
1 : 1
West Brom U23
20 Mar
Southampton U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
14 Mar
Reading U23
2 : 1
Burnley U23
Page 1 of 6

Charlton U23

(Away)
22 Jul
Charlton U23
3 : 0
Welling
16 Jul
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Charlton U23
12 Jul
Hampton & Richmond
3 : 2
Charlton U23
05 Jul
Neots
2 : 2
Charlton U23
02 Jul
Deal Town
2 : 6
Charlton U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)