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Real Aranjuez vs CDE Madrid

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
Real Aranjuez Logo

Real Aranjuez

0 - 1
FT
CDE Madrid Logo

CDE Madrid

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 game between Real Aranjuez and CDE Madrid finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDE Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Real Aranjuez
20%
Draws
80%
CDE Madrid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDE Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • CDE Madrid carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CDE Madrid are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aranjuez CDE Madrid
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.71 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Real Aranjuez
1:0
Jan 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs CDE Madrid
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
CDE Madrid 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aranjuez CDE Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDE Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CDE Madrid conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Real Aranjuez's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Real Aranjuez VS CDE Madrid
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aranjuez

(Home)
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Real Aranjuez
0 : 3
RSC Internacional
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CDE Madrid

(Away)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)