Sport Picks
Real Aviles vs Cacereno
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta, Avilés 
Match Events
29'
29'
Hernandez E.
36'
36'
Conesa N.
45'
45'
Babin J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Real Aviles and Cacereno finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cacereno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cacereno carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Aviles | Cacereno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Cacereno
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Real Aviles
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Aviles Compare
Top Goalscorer Cueto J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Cacereno Compare
Top Goalscorer Conesa N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Aviles 30 / 100
Cacereno 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Aviles Cacereno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Aviles scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Cacereno let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Real Aviles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Aviles VS Cacereno
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Aviles
(Home) 05 Aug
Leonesa
1 : 1 Real Aviles
01 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 1 Real Aviles
29 Jul
Marino De Luanco
1 : 0 Real Aviles
25 Jul
Real Oviedo B
0 : 0 Real Aviles
23 May
Pontevedra
2 : 2 Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4 Barakaldo
02 May
Real Aviles
2 : 2 Guadalajara
18 Apr
Real Aviles
1 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca
05 Apr
Real Aviles
2 : 1 Ourense CF
22 Mar
Real Aviles
1 : 1 Cacereno
Page 1 of 3
Cacereno
(Away) 05 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0 Guadalajara
29 Jul
Villanovense
0 : 2 Cacereno
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1 Jaen
23 May
Cacereno
1 : 2 CF Talavera
17 May
Zamora
1 : 2 Cacereno
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Villanovense
0 : 2 Cacereno
17 May
Zamora
1 : 2 Cacereno
03 May
Arenteiro
0 : 4 Cacereno
17 Apr
Celta Vigo B
3 : 0 Cacereno
04 Apr
Tenerife
1 : 1 Cacereno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
