Sport Picks
Match Events
69'
69'
Gabriel Lima
80'
80'
Lucas P.
AI Match Summary
Real Brasilia in this Serie D 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Brasilia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Brasilia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Capital FC have won more games recently than Real Brasilia.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Real Brasilia taking it.
- Regular Serie D 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Real Brasilia Clean Sheet 17%
Capital FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Brasilia | Capital FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 22 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 20, 2024 Serie D
Real Brasilia vs Capital FC
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Serie D
Capital FC vs Real Brasilia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Brasilia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel Lima
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Capital FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Brasilia 41 / 100
Capital FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Brasilia Capital FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Capital FC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Capital FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Real Brasilia's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 38 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Real Brasilia VS Capital FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Brasilia
(Home) 28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4 Real Brasilia
22 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
0 : 2 Real Brasilia
11 Feb
Real Brasilia
0 : 3 Sobradinho
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5 Paranoa
31 Jan
Ceilandia
2 : 0 Real Brasilia
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11 Feb
Real Brasilia
0 : 3 Sobradinho
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5 Paranoa
24 Jan
Real Brasilia
0 : 1 Samambaia
17 Jan
Real Brasilia
0 : 0 Brasiliense
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1 Legiao
Page 1 of 4
Capital FC
(Away) 21 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 2 Capital FC
14 Mar
Capital FC
1 : 2 Tocantinopolis
07 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1 Capital FC
04 Mar
Capital FC
1 : 2 Manaus FC
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1 Palmas
Page 1 of 6
21 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 2 Capital FC
07 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1 Capital FC
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0 Capital FC
24 Jan
Guarai SC
1 : 3 Capital FC
18 Mar
Araguaina
1 : 2 Capital FC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manauara | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 35:7 | 34 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:15 | 28 |
| 3 | Princesa do Solimoes | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23:16 | 25 |
| 4 | Manaus FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Trem | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | 18 |
| 6 | Sao Raimundo RR | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 7 | Rio Branco AC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:25 | 12 |
| 8 | SC Humaita | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7:36 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maranhao | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 2 | AE Altos | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 24 |
| 3 | River-PI | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Tocantinopolis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | 19 |
| 5 | Cameta | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Fluminense-PI | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 7 | Moto Club | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 8 | Aguia De Maraba | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12:19 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treze PB | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28:9 | 31 |
| 2 | Iguatu | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 14:8 | 27 |
| 3 | America RN | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 18:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Atletico Cearense | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 5 | Sousa | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | 16 |
| 7 | Maracana | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 8 | Potiguar de Mossoró | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itabaiana | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Retro | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 3 | Jacuipense | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15:13 | 23 |
| 4 | ASA | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 21 |
| 5 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 6 | Juazeirense | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 21 |
| 7 | Petrolina | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6:19 | 10 |
| 8 | Sergipe | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11:22 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasiliense | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Anapolis | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Mixto | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 18:13 | 22 |
| 4 | CRAC | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 13:8 | 22 |
| 5 | Ipora | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 6 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 8 | Capital FC | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:29 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nova Iguacu | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Portuguesa RJ | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 18:6 | 25 |
| 3 | Itabuna | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Noroeste | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Serra | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Ipatinga | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8:18 | 11 |
| 7 | Democrata SL | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 10 |
| 8 | Audax RJ | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10:19 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maringa FC | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 25:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Internacional de Limeira | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Agua Santa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | 21 |
| 5 | Santo Andre | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Pouso Alegre | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Sao Jose EC | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Patrocinense | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6:32 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cianorte | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Brasil de Pelotas | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 3 | Avenida | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 4 | Novo Hamburgo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 5 | Hercilio Luz | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 11:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Concordia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Cascavel | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 8:12 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
