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Real du Cap vs Arcahaie

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real du Cap in this Championnat National 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real du Cap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Real du Cap
20%
Draws
50%
Arcahaie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arcahaie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Real du Cap at 1.17 per game, Arcahaie at 1.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Real du Cap Clean Sheet 26%
Arcahaie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real du Cap Arcahaie
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2020 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Arcahaie
2:0
Nov 2, 2019 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Arcahaie
0:0
Jun 9, 2019 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Arcahaie
1:1
Jun 6, 2019 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Real du Cap
1:0
Apr 28, 2019 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Real du Cap
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real du Cap 38 / 100
Arcahaie 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real du Cap Arcahaie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arcahaie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real du Cap's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arcahaie let in goals in 48% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Real du Cap stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real du Cap VS Arcahaie
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real du Cap

(Home)
29 May
Real du Cap
1 : 2
Rivartibonitienne
23 May
Juventus
2 : 1
Real du Cap
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1
Mirebalais
16 May
Real du Cap
2 : 0
Fica
13 May
Racing Haitien
4 : 0
Real du Cap
Page 1 of 6

Arcahaie

(Away)
16 May
Arcahaie
0 : 2
Waterhouse
13 May
Vega Real
2 : 1
Arcahaie
30 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 3
Arcahaie
16 May
Triomphe Liancourt
1 : 1
Arcahaie
13 May
Fica
0 : 0
Arcahaie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arcahaie 17 9 3 5 20:10 30
2 Baltimore 17 8 6 3 12:5 30
3 Triomphe Liancourt 17 9 3 5 17:15 30
4 AS Capoise 17 7 6 4 16:12 27
5 Racing Haitien 17 8 3 6 17:14 27
6 Violette 17 5 10 2 18:13 25
7 Cavaly 17 7 4 6 16:14 25
8 America des Cayes 17 7 4 6 16:15 25
9 Real du Cap 17 6 5 6 21:15 23
10 Tempete 17 6 4 7 18:15 22
11 Juventus 17 6 4 7 12:16 22
12 Rivartibonitienne 17 5 5 7 15:22 20
13 Don Bosco 17 4 7 6 20:21 19
14 Ouanaminthe 17 4 6 7 11:18 18
15 Cosmopolites 17 4 6 7 13:23 18
16 Fica 17 2 11 4 17:16 17
17 Racing des Gonaives 17 3 7 7 12:18 16
18 Mirebalais 17 2 8 7 10:19 14
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)