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Real Hope vs Ouanaminthe

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
Sun, May 26, 2024
2 - 1
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Hope in this Championnat National 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Real Hope
20%
Draws
29%
Ouanaminthe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Hope

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Hope have won more games recently than Ouanaminthe.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Real Hope taking it.
  • Real Hope have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ouanaminthe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Real Hope Clean Sheet 20%
Ouanaminthe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Hope Ouanaminthe
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.15 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Championnat National
Ouanaminthe vs Real Hope
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Ouanaminthe
0:1
May 26, 2024 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Ouanaminthe
2:1
Apr 11, 2024 Championnat National
Ouanaminthe vs Real Hope
1:0
Mar 28, 2024 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Ouanaminthe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Hope 58 / 100
Ouanaminthe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Hope Ouanaminthe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Hope Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Hope's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Ouanaminthe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Real Hope has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ouanaminthe's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Hope VS Ouanaminthe
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Hope

(Home)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Real Hope
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Fica
1 : 0
Real Hope
Page 1 of 6

Ouanaminthe

(Away)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 0
Ouanaminthe
20 Apr
Ouanaminthe
1 : 1
Fica
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
AS Capoise
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Real Hope 2
Ouanaminthe 1
America des Cayes 1
Tempete 0