Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Madrid B vs Sabadell

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Astals D.
45'
Ciria A.
60'
Sub
Coscia A. In: Priego J.
Out: Coscia A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Real Madrid B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Real Madrid B
30%
Draws
47%
Sabadell
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Real Madrid B haven't matched Sabadell's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sabadell arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Madrid B, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Real Madrid B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 20%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid B Sabadell
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Sabadell vs Real Madrid B
3:0
May 29, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid B vs Sabadell
2:0
Mar 20, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Real Madrid B
0:2
Nov 20, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Sabadell
3:0
May 31, 2014 LaLiga2
Real Madrid B vs Sabadell
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortuny P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sabadell Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B 32 / 100
Sabadell 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid B Sabadell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid B scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Madrid B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sabadell's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid B VS Sabadell
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid B

(Home)
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Real Madrid B
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1
Zamora
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2
Real Madrid B
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Sabadell

(Away)
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
07 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 2
Cordoba
29 Aug
Sabadell
1 : 0
Almeria
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Celta Vigo B 4
CE Europa 3
Atl. Madrid B 0
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 3
Real Madrid B 2
Zamora 2
Villarreal B 2
Final
Celta Vigo B 4
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 4
Zamora 1