Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Madrid B vs Sabadell

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Astals D.
45'
Ciria A.
60'
Sub
Coscia A. In: Priego J.
Out: Coscia A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Real Madrid B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Real Madrid B
33%
Draws
40%
Sabadell
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Madrid B haven't matched Sabadell's recent run of results.
  • Sabadell are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Sabadell arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Madrid B, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Real Madrid B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 17%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid B Sabadell
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Sabadell vs Real Madrid B
3:0
May 29, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid B vs Sabadell
2:0
Mar 20, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Real Madrid B
0:2
Nov 20, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Sabadell
3:0
May 31, 2014 LaLiga2
Real Madrid B vs Sabadell
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortuny P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sabadell Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B 28 / 100
Sabadell 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid B Sabadell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid B scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Madrid B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sabadell's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid B VS Sabadell
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid B

(Home)
05 Jun
Sabadell
3 : 0
Real Madrid B
29 May
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Sabadell
23 May
Guadalajara
2 : 2
Real Madrid B
17 May
Real Madrid B
3 : 3
Arenas Getxo
09 May
Cacereno
4 : 1
Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

Sabadell

(Away)
18 Jul
Castellon
2 : 0
Sabadell
19 Jun
Sabadell
4 : 0
Zamora
13 Jun
Zamora
1 : 0
Sabadell
05 Jun
Sabadell
3 : 0
Real Madrid B
29 May
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Celta Vigo B4
CE Europa3
Atl. Madrid B0
Ponferradina1
Sabadell3
Real Madrid B2
Zamora2
Villarreal B2
Final
Celta Vigo B4
Ponferradina1
Sabadell4
Zamora1