Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Madrid W vs AS Roma W

Europe Europe

Champions League Women 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Redondo A.
16' Event
Viens E.
Assist: Pilgrim A.
23' Event
Weir C.

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid W in this Champions League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Real Madrid W
39%
Draws
31%
AS Roma W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Madrid W lately — more wins on the board than AS Roma W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League Women 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 10%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid W AS Roma W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 19
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Champions League Women
Real Madrid W vs AS Roma W
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Redondo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Weir C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viens E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haavi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid W 29 / 100
AS Roma W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid W AS Roma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: AS Roma W conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid W VS AS Roma W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid W

(Home)
31 May
Real Madrid W
2 : 0
Granada CF W
26 May
Badalona W
0 : 4
Real Madrid W
10 May
Real Madrid W
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid W
02 May
Sevilla W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
26 Apr
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
Logrono Dux W
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AS Roma W

(Away)
24 May
Juventus W
0 : 1
AS Roma W
16 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Genoa W
10 May
Sassuolo W
0 : 3
AS Roma W
02 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Ternana W
25 Apr
Juventus W
0 : 1
AS Roma W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W651020:316
2Lyon W651018:516
3Chelsea W642020:314
4Bayern Munich W641114:1313
5Arsenal W640211:612
6Manchester United W64027:912
7Real Madrid W632113:711
8Juventus W631213:810
9Wolfsburg W630313:109
10Paris FC W62226:98
11Atl. Madrid W621313:97
12Leuven W61325:106
13Valerenga W61144:94
14AS Roma W61149:194
15Twente W60334:103
16SL Benfica W60244:112
17PSG W60244:122
18St. Polten W60153:281
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/4-finals)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)