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Real Murcia B vs Orihuela Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Conejero D.
10' Event
Yeboah D.
27' Event
Perdomo O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 game between Real Murcia B and Orihuela finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orihuela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Real Murcia B
15%
Draws
59%
Orihuela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orihuela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Orihuela haven't matched Real Murcia B's recent run of results.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 16%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Murcia B Orihuela
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Real Murcia B vs Orihuela
1:2
Aug 8, 2015 Club Friendly
Real Murcia B vs Orihuela
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeboah D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Orihuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Conejero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Murcia B 30 / 100
Orihuela 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Murcia B Orihuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Murcia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orihuela conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Real Murcia B found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Real Murcia B stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Murcia B VS Orihuela
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Murcia B

(Home)
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0
Real Murcia B
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Orihuela

(Away)
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2
Orihuela
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3
Orihuela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Nucia 4 4 0 0 9:1 12
2 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
4 Castellonense 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 CF Intercity 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
6 Alcoyano 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Yeclano 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 Orihuela 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
9 Ciudad Cieza 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
11 Deportiva Minera 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
13 Ilicitano 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
14 UD Poblense 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
15 Real Murcia B 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
16 Baleares 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
17 Valencia B 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
18 Pena Deportiva 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)