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Real Noroeste vs CA Itapemirim

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2018
Real Noroeste Logo

Real Noroeste

2 - 2
FT
CA Itapemirim Logo

CA Itapemirim

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Real Noroeste
35%
Draws
0%
CA Itapemirim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Real Noroeste have won more games recently than CA Itapemirim.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Real Noroeste taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 20%
CA Itapemirim Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Noroeste CA Itapemirim
Matches Played 47 36
Wins 19 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.49 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2023 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs CA Itapemirim
4:0
Mar 7, 2020 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs CA Itapemirim
3:1
Feb 23, 2019 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs CA Itapemirim
4:0
Mar 10, 2018 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs CA Itapemirim
2:2
Apr 8, 2017 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Real Noroeste
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Noroeste 85 / 100
CA Itapemirim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Noroeste CA Itapemirim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Noroeste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CA Itapemirim conceded in 86% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Real Noroeste has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CA Itapemirim lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Noroeste VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Noroeste

(Home)
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
16 May
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 10

CA Itapemirim

(Away)
11 Mar
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Vitoria ES
02 Mar
Rio Branco ES
2 : 1
CA Itapemirim
26 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Nova Venecia
15 Feb
Serra
2 : 0
CA Itapemirim
09 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serra 9 7 1 1 16:7 22
2 Real Noroeste 9 5 3 1 20:10 18
3 Galatas 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
4 Rio Branco-VN 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
5 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 5 1 14:8 14
6 CA Itapemirim 9 3 5 1 14:8 14
7 Vitoria ES 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
8 Tupy 9 1 2 6 7:17 5
9 Doze Futebol Clube 9 1 1 7 8:23 4
10 SAO Mateus 9 0 2 7 5:20 2
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2018 (Play Offs)