Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Torrico A.
Assist: Weslen Junior
15'
Alvarez S.
26'
Martinez C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Real Potosi
20%
Draws
33%
Nacional Potosi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Potosi have managed 1.32 goals a game lately — Nacional Potosi are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Real Potosi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Potosi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Real Potosi Clean Sheet 15%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Potosi Nacional Potosi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi
0:1
Sep 20, 2026 Copa Pacena
Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi
2:2
Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ali L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Torrico A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Potosi 75 / 100
Nacional Potosi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Potosi Nacional Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Potosi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Potosi scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Nacional Potosi conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Potosi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Potosi VS Nacional Potosi
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Potosi

(Home)
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
20 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 2
Nacional Potosi
15 Sept
Real Oruro
0 : 2
Real Potosi
12 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Potosi

(Away)
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
20 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 2
Nacional Potosi
16 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 4
Always Ready
12 Sept
GV San Jose
0 : 3
Nacional Potosi
09 Sept
Real Oruro
0 : 2
Nacional Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 2 0 10:5 14
2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
3 Real Potosi 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Academia del Balompie 6 1 0 5 7:11 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 5 3 1 1 18:4 10
2 Tomayapo 5 3 0 2 9:11 9
3 Always Ready 5 2 0 3 6:17 6
4 Real Oruro 5 1 0 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 5 3 1 1 9:8 10
2 Oriente Petrolero 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
3 Club Universitario de Vinto 6 2 1 3 11:10 7
4 Guabira 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
2 Independiente 5 3 1 1 14:8 10
3 GV San Jose 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
4 Blooming 5 1 0 4 8:15 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)