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Real SC vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Guilherme Pessoa
64' Event
Wesley Pacheco

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Real SC and Gramadense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gramadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Real SC
35%
Draws
18%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Real SC haven't matched Gramadense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Real SC Clean Sheet 68%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Gramadense
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 14
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.81 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 0.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Gaucho 2
Real SC vs Gramadense
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Gaucho 3
Real SC vs Gramadense
0:2
Dec 1, 2024 Gaucho 3
Gramadense vs Real SC
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Gaucho 3
Gramadense vs Real SC
1:0
Oct 9, 2024 Gaucho 3
Real SC vs Gramadense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Pacheco
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.32
Avg xA / game 0.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 95 / 100
Gramadense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramadense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Real SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Real SC's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS Gramadense
1.4 Goals Scored 0.5
0.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
20 Sept
Cruz Alta
0 : 3
Real SC
12 Sept
Real SC
3 : 0
Riograndense
05 Sept
Futvida
1 : 1
Real SC
27 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 0
Real SC
23 Jul
Real SC
0 : 3
Novo Hamburgo
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Gramadense

(Away)
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1
Gramadense
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Gramadense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aimore 14 9 4 1 16:5 31
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 5 1 16:7 29
3 Passo Fundo 14 7 6 1 20:12 27
4 Novo Hamburgo 14 7 3 4 17:8 24
5 Gramadense 14 6 6 2 13:9 24
6 Veranopolis 14 6 5 3 17:9 23
7 GE Bage 14 5 6 3 9:5 21
8 Lajeadense 14 5 6 3 13:14 21
9 Santa Cruz RS 14 4 6 4 12:11 18
10 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
11 GE Gloria 14 2 7 5 8:13 13
12 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 3 2 9 12:21 11
13 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 1 7 6 6:16 10
14 SC Gaucho 14 2 3 9 15:20 9
15 Real SC 14 0 3 11 4:23 3
16 Futvida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 (Main)