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Real SC vs Riograndense

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Sulbach Castro H.
83'
Augusto Goncalves Pires C.
83'
Augusto Goncalves Pires C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Real SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Real SC
35%
Draws
45%
Riograndense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Riograndense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Real SC haven't matched Riograndense's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Riograndense taking it.
  • Riograndense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real SC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Real SC Clean Sheet 15%
Riograndense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Riograndense
Matches Played 25 15
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.64 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2024 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs Real SC
0:1
Nov 20, 2024 Gaucho 3
Real SC vs Riograndense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulbach Castro H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Riograndense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 10 / 100
Riograndense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Riograndense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riograndense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Real SC scored in 48% of their last 25 outings.

Defensive concern: Riograndense conceded in 47% of 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS Riograndense
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
05 Sept
Futvida
1 : 1
Real SC
27 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 0
Real SC
23 Jul
Real SC
0 : 3
Novo Hamburgo
19 Jul
Real SC
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Jul
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
1 : 1
Real SC
Page 1 of 5

Riograndense

(Away)
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
16 Nov
SC Rio Grande
2 : 1
Riograndense
08 Nov
Riograndense
8 : 0
Sao Gabriel
26 Oct
Riograndense
0 : 1
SC Sao Paulo
19 Oct
SC Sao Paulo
0 : 0
Riograndense
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gramadense 3
SC Sao Paulo 2
Riograndense 0
Real SC 2
Final
Gramadense 3
Real SC 2