Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Sireti vs Stauceni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025/2026 game between Real Sireti and Stauceni finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Sireti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Real Sireti
20%
Draws
65%
Stauceni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stauceni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Stauceni's 2.1 goals per match outpaces what Real Sireti have produced (1.66).
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Stauceni taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Real Sireti Clean Sheet 14%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sireti Stauceni
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.66 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super Liga
Real Sireti vs Stauceni
4:3
Apr 10, 2026 Super Liga
Stauceni vs Real Sireti
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 1
Real Sireti vs Stauceni
4:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 1
Stauceni vs Real Sireti
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 Liga 1
Real Sireti vs Stauceni
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sireti 23 / 100
Stauceni 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sireti Stauceni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stauceni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Real Sireti scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Stauceni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Real Sireti has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Sireti VS Stauceni
0.75 Goals Scored 1.57
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sireti

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Milsami
12 Sept
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 1
Real Sireti
06 Sept
Real Sireti
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Real Sireti
0 : 0
Dacia Buiucani
Page 1 of 7

Stauceni

(Away)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
Stauceni
1 : 2
FC Chisinau
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 0
Oguzsport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stauceni 15 12 2 1 45:12 38
2 Real Sireti 15 11 2 2 52:20 35
3 Univer Comrat 15 9 0 6 33:25 27
4 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 15 4 3 8 18:27 15
5 Olimp Comrat 15 3 1 11 14:44 10
6 Falesti 15 1 2 12 15:49 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresti 15 9 4 2 43:13 31
2 Zimbru Chisinau 2 15 8 3 4 30:25 27
3 Iskra Ribnita 15 8 3 4 29:29 27
4 FCM Ungheni 15 7 3 5 30:22 24
5 Oguzsport 15 2 4 9 17:28 10
6 Victoria 15 2 1 12 17:49 7
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)