Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12

San Bartolome

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Union Tenerife play San Bartolome in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Union Tenerife averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. San Bartolome averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Real Union Tenerife won 1, San Bartolome won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Real Union Tenerife and 1.13 for San Bartolome. This points to a Real Union Tenerife double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Real Union Tenerife

35%

Draws

29%

San Bartolome

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Union Tenerife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Real Union Tenerife picked up more points recently compared to San Bartolome.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Real Union Tenerife Clean Sheet 21%

San Bartolome Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Union Tenerife	San Bartolome
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	7
Draws	9	12
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.03	0.83
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Real Union Tenerife vs San Bartolome

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

4:2

Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

San Bartolome vs Real Union Tenerife

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Union Tenerife Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yanes J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

San Bartolome Compare

Top Goalscorer Sergio Mateo

1 Goals

Assists Leader Perez Gonzalez R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union Tenerife 37 / 100

San Bartolome 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Union Tenerife San Bartolome

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Union Tenerife or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Union Tenerife attacking → ← attacking San Bartolome

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Union Tenerife scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

San Bartolome let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Real Union Tenerife went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

San Bartolome lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 33

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Paso	34	18	13	3	51:19	67
2	UD San Fernando	34	19	9	6	49:23	66
3	Mensajero	34	18	9	7	51:31	63
4	Tamaraceite	34	19	6	9	56:36	63
5	Panaderia	34	15	10	9	47:33	55
6	Las Palmas C	34	15	9	10	58:42	54
7	Tenerife C	34	14	10	10	49:46	52
8	Villa Santa Brigida	34	15	5	14	42:35	50
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45:36	48
10	Real Union Tenerife	34	12	9	13	34:32	45
11	San Miguel	34	10	9	15	37:43	39
12	CD Marino	34	8	15	11	44:40	39
13	Union Sur Yaiza	34	10	8	16	33:43	38
14	San Bartolome	34	8	12	14	30:55	36
15	Arucas	34	7	12	15	31:47	33
16	Herbania	34	7	11	16	39:58	32
17	SD Tenisca	34	6	7	21	32:68	25
18	Telde	34	5	10	19	30:71	25