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Rebel Kyiv vs Livyi Bereg 2

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Geresh R.
41' Event
Bazayev Y.
66' Event
Geresh R.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Rebel Kyiv and Livyi Bereg 2 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Livyi Bereg 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rebel Kyiv
44%
Draws
20%
Livyi Bereg 2
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Rebel Kyiv's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Livyi Bereg 2 have produced (1.25).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 18%
Livyi Bereg 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebel Kyiv Livyi Bereg 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Livyi Bereg 2
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Druha Liga
Livyi Bereg 2 vs Rebel Kyiv
0:0
Sep 3, 2025 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Livyi Bereg 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebel Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazayev Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Livyi Bereg 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Geresh R.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebel Kyiv 36 / 100
Livyi Bereg 2 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebel Kyiv Livyi Bereg 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rebel Kyiv scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Livyi Bereg 2 let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rebel Kyiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rebel Kyiv VS Livyi Bereg 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebel Kyiv

(Home)
10 Jul
Kudrivka
2 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
16 May
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka
0 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
10 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
06 May
Trostyanets
1 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
02 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

Livyi Bereg 2

(Away)
24 May
Livyi Bereg 2
8 : 0
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka
17 May
Oleksandriya 2
2 : 3
Livyi Bereg 2
10 May
Livyi Bereg 2
1 : 1
Trostyanets
06 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 0
Livyi Bereg 2
03 May
Livyi Bereg 2
0 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kulikiv30215458:1868
2Zhytomyr 230189369:2263
3Nyva Vinnytsya30156942:3251
4Nyva Ternopil 2301621230:4350
5Atlet Kiev301441245:4846
6FC Uzhhorod301351240:3744
7Skala 1911301351262:4844
8FC Vilkhivtsi301251350:4641
9Bukovyna 230761731:5727
10Real Pharma Odesa30142518:967
11Lisne30831932:3027
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotyv Kyiv30224465:1670
2Kolos Kovalivka 230216364:2269
3Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka30176758:4157
4Rebel Kyiv301551034:2750
5Livyi Bereg 230139850:2848
6Trostyanets30138946:3147
7Oleksandriya 2301281037:3244
8Ch. Odesa 230591625:5624
9Dinaz Vyshgorod30542126:6219
10Penuel Kryvyi Rih30381927:6417
11Hirnyk-Sport30352220:7314
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)