Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Andrukhiv B.
39'
39'
Andrukhiv B.
79'
79'
Klymenko V.
AI Match Summary
The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Rebel Kyiv and Penuel Kryvyi Rih finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rebel Kyiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rebel Kyiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Rebel Kyiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Rebel Kyiv a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Rebel Kyiv here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 19%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rebel Kyiv | Penuel Kryvyi Rih |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Rebel Kyiv
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Rebel Kyiv
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rebel Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Klymenko V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rebel Kyiv 85 / 100
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rebel Kyiv Penuel Kryvyi Rih
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick REB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Penuel Kryvyi Rih conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Rebel Kyiv scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Rebel Kyiv has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rebel Kyiv VS Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rebel Kyiv
(Home) 10 Jul
Kudrivka
2 : 1 Rebel Kyiv
16 May
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka
0 : 2 Rebel Kyiv
10 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 0 Oleksandriya 2
06 May
Trostyanets
1 : 2 Rebel Kyiv
02 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 0 Oleksandriya 2
02 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Apr
Rebel Kyiv
0 : 3 Dinaz Vyshgorod
08 Apr
Rebel Kyiv
4 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
30 Mar
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 3 Livyi Bereg 2
Page 1 of 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
(Away) 22 May
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
16 May
Kolos Kovalivka 2
5 : 0 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
10 May
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
4 : 2 Dinaz Vyshgorod
01 May
Hirnyk-Sport
2 : 3 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
25 Apr
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 4 Ch. Odesa 2
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Kolos Kovalivka 2
5 : 0 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
01 May
Hirnyk-Sport
2 : 3 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
19 Apr
Livyi Bereg 2
2 : 0 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
09 Apr
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka
3 : 0 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
28 Mar
Trostyanets
2 : 0 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kulikiv | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 58:18 | 68 |
| 2 | Zhytomyr 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 69:22 | 63 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 42:32 | 51 |
| 4 | Nyva Ternopil 2 | 30 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 30:43 | 50 |
| 5 | Atlet Kiev | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 45:48 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Uzhhorod | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 44 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 62:48 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Vilkhivtsi | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 50:46 | 41 |
| 9 | Bukovyna 2 | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 31:57 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Pharma Odesa | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 18:96 | 7 |
| 11 | Lisne | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 32:30 | 27 |
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 65:16 | 70 |
| 2 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 64:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 58:41 | 57 |
| 4 | Rebel Kyiv | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 34:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Livyi Bereg 2 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 50:28 | 48 |
| 6 | Trostyanets | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 46:31 | 47 |
| 7 | Oleksandriya 2 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:32 | 44 |
| 8 | Ch. Odesa 2 | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 25:56 | 24 |
| 9 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 26:62 | 19 |
| 10 | Penuel Kryvyi Rih | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 27:64 | 17 |
| 11 | Hirnyk-Sport | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 20:73 | 14 |
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)
