Sport Picks

Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2014

FK Smolevichi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rechytsa play FK Smolevichi in the Pershaya Liga 2014. FK Smolevichi are favorites here. Recently, Rechytsa averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. FK Smolevichi averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, Rechytsa won 2, FK Smolevichi won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 19, 2015 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.17 for Rechytsa and 1.18 for FK Smolevichi. This points to a FK Smolevichi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Rechytsa

15%

Draws

56%

FK Smolevichi

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smolevichi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Rechytsa picked up more points recently compared to FK Smolevichi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.17 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Rechytsa Clean Sheet 20%

FK Smolevichi Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rechytsa	FK Smolevichi
Matches Played	32	35
Wins	3	8
Draws	6	5
Losses	23	22
Goals Scored	0.5	1.23
Goals Conceded	2.09	2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2015 Pershaya Liga

FK Smolevichi vs Rechytsa

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

May 31, 2015 Pershaya Liga

Rechytsa vs FK Smolevichi

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Nov 15, 2014 Pershaya Liga

FK Smolevichi vs Rechytsa

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:3

Jul 12, 2014 Pershaya Liga

Rechytsa vs FK Smolevichi

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Nov 2, 2013 Pershaya Liga

Rechytsa vs FK Smolevichi

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rechytsa 30 / 100

FK Smolevichi 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rechytsa FK Smolevichi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Smolevichi Win (2)

Secondary Pick FK Smolevichi & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rechytsa attacking → ← attacking FK Smolevichi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rechytsa scored in 38% of their last 32 games.

FK Smolevichi let in goals in 89% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rechytsa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Smolevichi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 29

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mikashevichi	30	19	7	4	46:16	64
2	Slavia Mozyr	30	18	6	6	55:38	60
3	Vitebsk	30	15	5	10	44:30	50
4	Smorgon	30	13	7	10	42:32	46
5	Rechytsa	30	13	7	10	41:36	46
6	FK Gorodeja	30	11	12	7	42:26	45
7	Isloch Minsk	30	11	12	7	39:35	45
8	Chimik Svetlogorsk	30	12	7	11	34:36	43
9	SKA-1938 Minsk	30	12	4	14	50:48	40
10	FK Smolevichi	30	12	4	14	37:41	40
11	Lokomotiv Gomel	30	9	9	12	33:38	36
12	FC Minsk B	30	9	6	15	41:45	33
13	Byaroza 2010	30	8	9	13	37:48	33
14	FK Lida	30	10	1	19	46:64	31
15	FC Slonim	30	6	12	12	32:50	30
16	Volna Pinsk	30	4	8	18	26:62	20