Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Recoleta vs Rubio Nu

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Ricardo Gregor, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Cardozo Lucena A.
32'
Sub
Montiel L. In: Manzur G.
Out: Montiel L.
46'
Sub
Mendoza L. In: Garay C.
Out: Mendoza L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Recoleta
15%
Draws
65%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rubio Nu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Recoleta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Rubio Nu taking it.
  • Recoleta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Rubio Nu
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.55 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
1:3
Mar 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Rubio Nu
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Division Intermedia
Recoleta vs Rubio Nu
2:0
Apr 19, 2024 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Rubio Nu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 10 / 100
Rubio Nu 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Rubio Nu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rubio Nu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Recoleta scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Rubio Nu let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recoleta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Rubio Nu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
26 Aug
Deportivo Santani
0 : 2
Recoleta
22 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 1
Recoleta
18 Aug
Recoleta
0 : 4
Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 7

Rubio Nu

(Away)
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
25 Aug
General Caballero JLM
2 : 3
Rubio Nu
21 Aug
Rubio Nu
0 : 0
Sportivo Trinidense
15 Aug
Guarani
2 : 3
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 22 15 4 3 37:17 49
2 Nacional Asuncion 22 10 9 3 31:22 39
3 Cerro Porteno 22 11 5 6 30:22 38
4 Sportivo Ameliano 22 8 9 5 27:21 33
5 Sportivo Trinidense 22 8 8 6 30:24 32
6 Libertad Asuncion 22 9 4 9 34:26 31
7 Guarani 22 7 8 7 27:23 29
8 Recoleta 22 8 4 10 35:32 28
9 Rubio Nu 22 6 5 11 15:26 23
10 2 de Mayo 22 5 7 10 18:35 22
11 Sp. Luqueno 22 5 5 12 24:33 20
12 San Lorenzo 22 3 6 13 14:41 15
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)