Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Recoleta vs Rubio Nu

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Ricardo Gregor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Recoleta play Rubio Nu in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, Recoleta averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Rubio Nu averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Recoleta won 2, Rubio Nu won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 26, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Recoleta and 0.85 for Rubio Nu. This points to a Recoleta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Recoleta
30%
Draws
34%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Recoleta picked up more points recently compared to Rubio Nu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.85 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 25%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Rubio Nu
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Rubio Nu
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Division Intermedia
Recoleta vs Rubio Nu
2:0
Apr 19, 2024 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
2:2
Aug 29, 2023 Division Intermedia
Recoleta vs Rubio Nu
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rubio Nu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 37 / 100
Rubio Nu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Rubio Nu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Recoleta or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Recoleta attacking → ← attacking Rubio Nu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Rubio Nu let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recoleta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rubio Nu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 42
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.71
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115