Sport Picks

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Red Bull Brasil vs Monte Azul

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paulista A2 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Joao Pedro
42' Event
Quintero Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Paulista A2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Red Bull Brasil
30%
Draws
12%
Monte Azul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Red Bull Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Bull Brasil haven't matched Monte Azul's recent run of results.
  • Red Bull Brasil are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato Paulista A2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Red Bull Brasil Clean Sheet 68%
Monte Azul Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Bull Brasil Monte Azul
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Monte Azul
1:1
May 15, 2021 Paulista A2
Monte Azul vs Red Bull Brasil
1:2
Mar 7, 2020 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Monte Azul
2:1
Feb 8, 2014 Paulista A2
Monte Azul vs Red Bull Brasil
2:2
Mar 31, 2013 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Monte Azul
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Bull Brasil Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Monte Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Bull Brasil 86 / 100
Monte Azul 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Bull Brasil Monte Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Bull Brasil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Red Bull Brasil's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Monte Azul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Red Bull Brasil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Monte Azul
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Bull Brasil

(Home)
18 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
5 : 0
Barretos EC
11 Mar
Gremio Prudente
2 : 0
Red Bull Brasil
08 Mar
Capivariano
1 : 1
Red Bull Brasil
04 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
2 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
01 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
1 : 1
Itapirense
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Monte Azul

(Away)
07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3
Monte Azul
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2
Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1
Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Monte Azul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 15 9 5 1 22:6 32
2 Osasco Sporting 15 8 6 1 19:8 30
3 Piracicaba 15 7 5 3 18:10 26
4 Rio Claro 15 6 5 4 12:10 23
5 Velo Clube 15 6 4 5 18:17 22
6 Sao Bento 15 5 7 3 16:12 22
7 Linense 15 5 7 3 15:12 22
8 Primavera EC 15 5 7 3 15:15 22
9 Lemense 15 6 3 6 13:16 21
10 Juventus-SP 15 5 4 6 11:12 19
11 Sao Caetano 15 5 2 8 17:20 17
12 Monte Azul 15 4 4 7 10:19 16
13 Portuguesa Santista 15 3 7 5 12:11 16
14 Taubate 15 2 7 6 17:21 13
15 Audax-SP 15 2 5 8 13:25 11
16 Red Bull Brasil 15 1 4 10 12:26 7
Promotion - Campeonato Paulista A2 2022 (Play Offs)