Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Sylla D.
22'
22'
Cabral K.
31'
31'
Noukeu B.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Red Star and Boulogne finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Red Star
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Red Star carry the better recent record into this one.
- Red Star are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Red Star Clean Sheet 20%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Red Star | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Red Star
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Boulogne
2:2
Sep 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Red Star
1:2
Jan 28, 2022 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Red Star
0:4
Aug 13, 2021 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Boulogne
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Red Star Compare
Top Goalscorer Ba P. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Boulogne Compare
Top Goalscorer Boyer J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Burlet V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Red Star 36 / 100
Boulogne 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Red Star Boulogne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Red Star found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Red Star went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Boulogne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Red Star VS Boulogne
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Red Star
(Home) 04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2 Red Star
29 Aug
Red Star
1 : 4 Reims
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1 Red Star
14 Aug
Red Star
0 : 0 Sochaux
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1 Red Star
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Red Star
1 : 4 Reims
14 Aug
Red Star
0 : 0 Sochaux
21 Jul
Red Star
3 : 2 Orleans
12 May
Red Star
2 : 3 Rodez
09 May
Red Star
1 : 1 Montpellier
Page 1 of 3
Boulogne
(Away) 11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0 Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1 Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0 Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1 Red Star
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0 Boulogne
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0 Boulogne
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0 Boulogne
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0 Boulogne
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1 Boulogne
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1 Boulogne
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 62 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 60 |
| 4 | Red Star | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Rodez | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 58 |
| 6 | Reims | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 56 |
| 7 | Annecy | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 9 | Pau | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | 39 |
| 13 | Clermont | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | 37 |
| 14 | Nancy | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Laval | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | 32 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens SC | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | 24 |
| 19 | AC Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)
