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Referencia U20 vs Agua Santa U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Referencia U20 Logo

Referencia U20

1 - 2
FT
Agua Santa U20 Logo

Agua Santa U20

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bueno K.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Mendes G.
90' Event
Rodrigues R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Referencia U20 and Agua Santa U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agua Santa U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Referencia U20
15%
Draws
42%
Agua Santa U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Referencia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Agua Santa U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Referencia U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Agua Santa U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Referencia U20 Agua Santa U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Agua Santa U20
1:2
Jun 27, 2025 Paulista U20
Agua Santa U20 vs Referencia U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Referencia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Agua Santa U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Referencia U20 77 / 100
Agua Santa U20 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Referencia U20 Agua Santa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Referencia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Referencia U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Agua Santa U20 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Referencia U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Referencia U20 VS Agua Santa U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Referencia U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0
Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2
Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2
Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Referencia U20
Page 1 of 6

Agua Santa U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 1
Agua Santa U20
12 Sept
Bragantino U20
8 : 0
Agua Santa U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
21 Aug
Agua Santa U20
1 : 0
Tanabi U20
11 Aug
Capivariano U20
1 : 2
Agua Santa U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)