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Rekord Bielsko-Biala W vs Pogon Tczew W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Gulec R.
49' Event
Deren D.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Kaminska K.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Rekord Bielsko-Biala W and Pogon Tczew W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rekord Bielsko-Biala W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
6%
Draws
4%
Pogon Tczew W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rekord Bielsko-Biala W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rekord Bielsko-Biala W come out ahead of Pogon Tczew W on wins alone.
  • Rekord Bielsko-Biala W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rekord Bielsko-Biala W Pogon Tczew W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W vs Pogon Tczew W
5:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W vs Pogon Tczew W
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
3:1
Mar 9, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W vs Pogon Tczew W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulec R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutowska J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaminska K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W 85 / 100
Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W Pogon Tczew W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Tczew W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Pogon Tczew W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W VS Pogon Tczew W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W

(Home)
25 Jul
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
1 : 1
UKS SMS Lodz W
22 Jul
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
0 : 4
Slavia Prague W
15 Jul
GKS Katowice W
1 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
04 Jul
Slask Wroclaw W
1 : 0
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
30 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
2 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
Page 1 of 7

Pogon Tczew W

(Away)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1
Pogon Tczew W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)