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Renaissance vs US Gendarmerie

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Renaissance and US Gendarmerie finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Gendarmerie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Renaissance
20%
Draws
74%
US Gendarmerie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: US Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • US Gendarmerie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • US Gendarmerie are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Renaissance Clean Sheet 10%
US Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renaissance US Gendarmerie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 0.77 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Super Ligue
Renaissance vs US Gendarmerie
0:3
Nov 14, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Renaissance
4:1
Jun 18, 2025 Super Ligue
Renaissance vs US Gendarmerie
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Renaissance
0:0
May 6, 2024 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Renaissance
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renaissance 10 / 100
US Gendarmerie 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renaissance US Gendarmerie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Gendarmerie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Renaissance found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

US Gendarmerie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 30 matches.

Renaissance went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renaissance VS US Gendarmerie
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renaissance

(Home)
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
09 Jun
Liberte
2 : 2
Renaissance
05 Jun
Renaissance
1 : 4
Olympic Niamey
01 Jun
Urana
1 : 0
Renaissance
22 May
Renaissance
0 : 3
US Gendarmerie
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US Gendarmerie

(Away)
23 Sept
US Gendarmerie
1 : 0
Nigelec
18 Sept
US Gendarmerie
4 : 0
Urana
12 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
US Gendarmerie
20 Jun
US Gendarmerie
0 : 0
Urana
08 Jun
AS UAM
0 : 3
US Gendarmerie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)