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Rennes vs Caen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Lepaul E.
72' Event
Noireau-Dauriat S.
81' Event
Noireau-Dauriat S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Rennes and Caen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rennes
40%
Draws
29%
Caen
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rennes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rennes Clean Sheet 12%
Caen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes Caen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 2 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Rennes vs Caen
1:2
Jul 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Caen vs Rennes
1:2
Mar 10, 2019 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Caen
3:1
Nov 3, 2018 Ligue 1
Caen vs Rennes
1:2
Feb 17, 2018 Ligue 1
Caen vs Rennes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepaul E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Noireau-Dauriat S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 30 / 100
Caen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes Caen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rennes scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Caen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Rennes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS Caen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%