Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo FC

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Complejo Rentistas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rentistas play Uruguay Montevideo FC in the Segunda Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rentistas averaged 1 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Uruguay Montevideo FC averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Rentistas won 2, Uruguay Montevideo FC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Rentistas and 1.13 for Uruguay Montevideo FC. This points to a Rentistas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Rentistas
15%
Draws
36%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Rentistas picked up more points recently compared to Uruguay Montevideo FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 21%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rentistas Uruguay Montevideo FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:3
Jul 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Rentistas
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Rentistas
1:0
Oct 7, 2024 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rentistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Silveira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rentistas 48 / 100
Uruguay Montevideo FC 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rentistas Uruguay Montevideo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rentistas or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rentistas attacking → ← attacking Uruguay Montevideo FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rentistas scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Uruguay Montevideo FC let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Rentistas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uruguay Montevideo FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 24
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atenas961217:819
2River Plate Montevideo1052317:1617
3Cerrito943214:1315
4Colon1043310:915
5Tacuarembo94238:814
6Fenix934214:1113
7Miramar934214:1113
8Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
9Huracan FC103348:1212
10Club Oriental De Futbol925214:1211
11Rentistas93248:1211
12La Luz92436:810
13Paysandu FC921611:157
14Uruguay Montevideo FC92169:147