Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Resende U20 vs Olaria U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Wed, Mar 25, 2026
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Resende U20 are expected to control this from the start. Resende U20 have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Olaria U20's 0.43 scored and 1.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Resende U20 slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.43 - 1.34) back Resende U20 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Resende U20
20%
Draws
10%
Olaria U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Resende U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Resende U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Resende U20 taking it.
  • Resende U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Resende U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Resende U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Olaria U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende U20 Olaria U20
Matches Played 25 7
Wins 11 1
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.36 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Resende U20 vs Olaria U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende U20 95 / 100
Olaria U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende U20 Olaria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Resende U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Resende U20 scored in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Olaria U20 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Resende U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Resende U20 VS Olaria U20
1 Goals Scored 0.43
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende U20

(Home)
04 Apr
Resende U20
0 : 3
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Mar
Volta Redonda U20
3 : 3
Resende U20
25 Mar
Resende U20
3 : 0
Olaria U20
21 Mar
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Resende U20
18 Mar
Resende U20
1 : 0
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 5

Olaria U20

(Away)
04 Apr
Boavista U20
1 : 0
Olaria U20
28 Mar
Olaria U20
0 : 1
Bangu U20
25 Mar
Resende U20
3 : 0
Olaria U20
21 Mar
Olaria U20
0 : 3
Fluminense U20
18 Mar
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 1
Olaria U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 7 5 2 0 17:2 17
2 Bangu U20 7 5 0 2 9:4 15
3 Botafogo RJ U20 7 4 3 0 19:3 15
4 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:9 10
5 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 Resende U20 7 2 2 3 8:17 8
7 Olaria U20 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
8 Volta Redonda U20 7 0 1 6 5:20 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RJ U20 7 6 0 1 16:8 18
2 Vasco U20 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
3 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 0 3 21:10 12
4 Sampaio Correa U20 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
5 Madureira U20 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
6 Nova Iguacu U20 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Cabofriense U20 7 2 1 4 7:18 7
8 Marica U20 7 1 0 6 5:11 3
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)