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Resende vs Americano

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ricardinho
18' Event
Matheus Goiano
45' Event
Ricardinho

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Resende and Americano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Americano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Resende
20%
Draws
51%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Americano come out ahead of Resende on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Americano taking it.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Resende Clean Sheet 22%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende Americano
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Carioca 2
Americano vs Resende
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
1:0
Jul 4, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
1:2
Jun 4, 2025 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
0:1
May 19, 2024 Carioca 2
Resende vs Americano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Goiano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricardinho
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende 24 / 100
Americano 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Resende scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Americano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Resende stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Resende VS Americano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 7

Americano

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)