Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Retuerto Sport vs Portugalete

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugalete in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugalete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Retuerto Sport
40%
Draws
29%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugalete have won more games recently than Retuerto Sport.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portugalete have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Retuerto Sport Clean Sheet 19%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retuerto Sport Portugalete
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 21
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Retuerto Sport
1:0
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Retuerto Sport vs Portugalete
1:1
May 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Retuerto Sport vs Portugalete
0:3
Dec 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Retuerto Sport
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retuerto Sport 32 / 100
Portugalete 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retuerto Sport Portugalete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Retuerto Sport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Retuerto Sport's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Portugalete has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portugalete
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Retuerto Sport

(Home)
11 May
Retuerto Sport
3 : 1
Lagun Onak
01 May
SCD Durango
2 : 0
Retuerto Sport
26 Apr
Retuerto Sport
0 : 0
Gernika Club
15 Apr
Balmaseda
1 : 1
Retuerto Sport
12 Apr
Retuerto Sport
0 : 0
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

Portugalete

(Away)
09 May
Alaves C
1 : 2
Portugalete
03 May
Portugalete
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
25 Apr
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
17 Apr
Portugalete
4 : 2
Eibar C
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad B382112568:2375
2Portugalete381912765:3169
3Amorebieta381911858:3468
4Elgoibar381981140:2965
5Gernika Club381712954:3863
6Beasain381891158:3563
7SCD Durango381514956:4459
8Amurrio Club381415953:4257
9Zamudio381681447:4456
10Baskonia3813131253:5652
11Laudio3812131331:3149
12Santurtzi3811151245:4048
13Zalla UC381381738:4747
14Eibar B3812101646:5746
15Arenas Getxo3811131429:4146
16Leioa381361945:5945
17Lagun Onak3811101733:4243
18UD Aretxabaleta3810111733:5841
19Retuerto Sport385112231:7426
20Salvatierra38272922:8013
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)