Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFC Liege U21 vs Lierse SK U21

Belgium Belgium

Pro League U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Boutkabout S.
86' Event
Mehdaoui Z.

AI Match Summary

Lierse SK U21 in this Pro League U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lierse SK U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
RFC Liege U21
20%
Draws
20%
Lierse SK U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RFC Liege U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lierse SK U21 have won more games recently than RFC Liege U21.
  • Win probability leans Lierse SK U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lierse SK U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
RFC Liege U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Lierse SK U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFC Liege U21 Lierse SK U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.6 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Pro League U21
RFC Liege U21 vs Lierse SK U21
0:2
Oct 31, 2025 Pro League U21
Lierse SK U21 vs RFC Liege U21
5:0
Feb 14, 2025 Pro League U21
RFC Liege U21 vs Lierse SK U21
2:0
Nov 11, 2024 Pro League U21
Lierse SK U21 vs RFC Liege U21
2:1
Aug 23, 2024 Pro League U21
RFC Liege U21 vs Lierse SK U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFC Liege U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lierse SK U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Boutkabout S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehdaoui Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFC Liege U21 22 / 100
Lierse SK U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFC Liege U21 Lierse SK U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lierse SK U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lierse SK U21 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

RFC Liege U21 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Lierse SK U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFC Liege U21 VS Lierse SK U21
1 Goals Scored 1.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RFC Liege U21

(Home)
11 Sept
RFC Liege U21
1 : 0
Kortrijk U21
04 Sept
SK Beveren U21
6 : 0
RFC Liege U21
28 Aug
RFC Liege U21
1 : 2
RFC Seraing U21
09 Aug
Verlaine
1 : 3
RFC Liege U21
15 May
RFC Liege U21
0 : 7
Westerlo U21
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Lierse SK U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Kortrijk U21
3 : 1
Lierse SK U21
11 Sept
Daring Brussels U21
2 : 2
Lierse SK U21
28 Aug
Francs Borains U21
3 : 0
Lierse SK U21
15 May
Lierse SK U21
2 : 4
Lommel SK U21
08 May
Westerlo U21
2 : 2
Lierse SK U21
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