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RFK Novi Sad vs Spartak Subotica

Serbia Serbia

Serbian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Janjic M.
Own Goal
45' Event
Randjelovic M.
Own Goal
71' Event
Volarevic D.

AI Match Summary

The Serbian Cup 2024/2025 game between RFK Novi Sad and Spartak Subotica finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Subotica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
RFK Novi Sad
6%
Draws
4%
Spartak Subotica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: RFK Novi Sad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • RFK Novi Sad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans RFK Novi Sad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Serbian Cup 2024/2025 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spartak Subotica have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
RFK Novi Sad Clean Sheet 18%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFK Novi Sad Spartak Subotica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2024 Mozzart Serbian Cup
RFK Novi Sad vs Spartak Subotica
1:2
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Spartak Subotica vs RFK Novi Sad
3:0
May 16, 2009 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Spartak Subotica vs RFK Novi Sad
3:2
Nov 1, 2008 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
RFK Novi Sad vs Spartak Subotica
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFK Novi Sad Compare

Top Goalscorer Volarevic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Spartak Subotica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFK Novi Sad 85 / 100
Spartak Subotica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFK Novi Sad Spartak Subotica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spartak Subotica conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Spartak Subotica registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: RFK Novi Sad scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartak Subotica
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tekstilac Odzaci-
TBD-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Vozdovac-
Smederevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Novi Pazar-
Indjija-
TBD-
TBD-
Radnicki 1923-
Sloboda-
TBD-
TBD-
Napredak-
Zemun3
Kolubara1
TBD-
Javor-
Dubocica-
TBD-
TBD-
Mladost Lucani-
Macva Sabac-
TBD-
TBD-
IMT Novi Beograd-
Jedinstvo Ub-
TBD-
TBD-
Cukaricki-
Trepca2
Pusta Reka1
TBD-
Radnicki Nis-
Radnicki S. Mitrovica-
TBD-
TBD-
Vojvodina-
Graficar Beograd-
TBD-
TBD-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
FAP2
Metalac1
TBD-
Radnik Surdulica-
Mladost GAT1
Usce0
TBD-
Partizan-
Vrsac-
TBD-
TBD-
TSC Backa Topola-
RFK Novi Sad3
Hajduk Divos2
TBD-
Spartak Subotica-
1/16-finals
Tekstilac Odzaci0
Crvena zvezda7
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet3
FK Vozdovac2
Smederevo1
Novi Pazar3
Indjija0
Radnicki 19231
Sloboda2
Napredak3
Zemun1
Javor2
Dubocica0
Mladost Lucani2
Macva Sabac0
IMT Novi Beograd1
Jedinstvo Ub0
Cukaricki1
Trepca0
Radnicki Nis6
Radnicki S. Mitrovica0
Vojvodina1
Graficar Beograd2
Zeleznicar Pancevo1
FAP2
Radnik Surdulica3
Mladost GAT0
Partizan3
Vrsac1
TSC Backa Topola2
RFK Novi Sad1
Spartak Subotica2
1/8-finals
Crvena zvezda5
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet3
Novi Pazar2
Radnicki 19230
Napredak1
Javor0
Mladost Lucani1
IMT Novi Beograd2
Cukaricki0
Radnicki Nis2
Vojvodina3
Graficar Beograd1
Radnik Surdulica0
Partizan3
TSC Backa Topola2
Spartak Subotica1
Quarter-finals
Crvena zvezda2
Novi Pazar1
Napredak2
IMT Novi Beograd1
Radnicki Nis0
Vojvodina1
Partizan0
TSC Backa Topola1
Semi-finals
Crvena zvezda4
Napredak2
Vojvodina2
TSC Backa Topola0
Final
Crvena zvezda3
Vojvodina0