Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFS 2 vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RFS 2 host Marupe in the 1. Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: RFS 2 at 1.62 goals for, 2.34 against; Marupe at 1.57 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, RFS 2 have won 5 to Marupe's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (2.00 - 2.13) back RFS 2 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
RFS 2
15%
Draws
57%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Marupe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Marupe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RFS 2 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
RFS 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS 2 Marupe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs RFS 2
1:4
Sep 1, 2025 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Marupe
4:1
Apr 27, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs RFS 2
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Marupe
3:1
Apr 28, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs RFS 2
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 2 10 / 100
Marupe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS 2 Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

RFS 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Marupe has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Marupe's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

RFS 2 VS Marupe
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS 2

(Home)
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
08 Aug
FK Metta
12 : 1
RFS 2
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Marupe

(Away)
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 20 14 4 2 37:22 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Skanste 20 8 2 10 43:41 26
8 Riga FC 2 20 7 4 9 29:37 25
9 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
10 RFS 2 20 4 3 13 31:56 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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