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RFS vs Noah Jurmala

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Jana Skredela stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Ofosu A. In: Grjaznovs A.
Out: Ofosu A.
25' Event
Jagodinskis V.
42' Event
Lucas Villela

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Optibet Virsliga 2021 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
RFS
20%
Draws
0%
Noah Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RFS lately — more wins on the board than Noah Jurmala.
  • Model gives RFS a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RFS have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
RFS Clean Sheet 68%
Noah Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Noah Jurmala
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 24 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 4 26
Goals Scored 2.45 0.29
Goals Conceded 0.79 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs RFS
0:3
Sep 15, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs RFS
0:3
Jun 21, 2021 Virsliga
RFS vs Noah Jurmala
5:0
Apr 29, 2021 Virsliga
RFS vs Noah Jurmala
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Jagodinskis V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Villela
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Noah Jurmala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 95 / 100
Noah Jurmala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Noah Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

Noah Jurmala has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Noah Jurmala registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
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Noah Jurmala

(Away)
06 Nov
FK Metta
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
31 Oct
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
27 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
23 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
17 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)