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Rhode Island vs New England Revolution II

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Rhode Island play New England Revolution II in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rhode Island averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. New England Revolution II averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Rhode Island won 0, New England Revolution II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 4:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Rhode Island and 1.19 for New England Revolution II. This points to a New England Revolution II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rhode Island
15%
Draws
50%
New England Revolution II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rhode Island picked up more points recently compared to New England Revolution II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 20%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhode Island New England Revolution II
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 5 0
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Rhode Island vs New England Revolution II
4:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhode Island 36 / 100
New England Revolution II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhode Island New England Revolution II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: New England Revolution II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rhode Island attacking → ← attacking New England Revolution II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhode Island scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

New England Revolution II let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Rhode Island went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

New England Revolution II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 60
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00