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Rhyl vs Holywell Town FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026 Belle Vue, Rhyl
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Breese J.
58' Event
Jones A.
66' Event
Parry J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Rhyl and Holywell Town FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rhyl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Rhyl
22%
Draws
60%
Holywell Town FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Holywell Town FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rhyl come out ahead of Holywell Town FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Holywell Town FC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rhyl have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhyl Holywell Town FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Holywell Town FC
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Rhyl
1:1
Mar 1, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Rhyl vs Holywell Town FC
1:0
Oct 12, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holywell Town FC vs Rhyl
2:3
Dec 30, 2017 Cymru Alliance
Rhyl vs Holywell Town FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rhyl Compare

Top Goalscorer Parry J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Breese J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhyl 18 / 100
Holywell Town FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhyl Holywell Town FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Holywell Town FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rhyl stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rhyl VS Holywell Town FC
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhyl

(Home)
14 Jul
Llandudno FC
2 : 0
Rhyl
06 Jul
Colwyn Bay
3 : 2
Rhyl
27 Jun
Flint Town
3 : 2
Rhyl
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0
Rhyl
07 Apr
Rhyl
1 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 6

Holywell Town FC

(Away)
10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Mold Alexandra
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Holywell Town FC
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0
Newtown
03 Apr
Holywell Town FC
0 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)